Thursday, May 05, 2011

Election prediction

Today, the UK goes to the polls in local elections and a referendum on whether the country should adopt an Alternative Voting (AV) system.

My election prediction is that whatever the likely results we should expect a major leadership challenge to begin (if it hasn't already) amongst the Liberal Democrats, the junior party in the coalition government. They are set for major losses in local elections and the likely overwhelming defeat of AV. This combination may make Nick Clegg's continued leadership untenable. This does not mean he might shortly step down as Deputy Prime Minsiter, but expect change in the Lib Dem leadership as the big story from today's election.

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